Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE +125 MICH -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -17.7 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -8.7 (+10.7) | 142.6 (-0.6) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.6 (+12.6) | 141.2 (+0.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.3 (+12.3) | 136.0 (+6.0) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | MICH 85 – 84 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#253) | 13.5 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#108) | 0.40 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#113) | 0.62 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#159) | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 68.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 55.6% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 77.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 41.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 27.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 12.9% |
Game Analysis
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