Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -800 TEX +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +24 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -10.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -12.6 (+11.4) | 150.3 (-6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -11.5 (+12.5) | 149.6 (-5.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -11.5 (+12.5) | 151.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -11.4 (+12.6) | 151.1 (-7.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | FLA 84 – 71 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 21.1 (#7) | 14.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#6) | 1.97 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.50 (#5) | 2.52 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#20) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 41.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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