Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Under |
| Money | OU -1800 ORU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | OU -15.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -12.4 (+1.6) | 158.5 (-14.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -16.5 (-2.5) | 161.9 (-17.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -17.1 (-3.1) | 163.4 (-19.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -19.0 (-5.0) | 163.8 (-19.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | OU 95 – 71 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 10-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#41) | 0.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#27) | -0.86 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#42) | -1.01 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#51) | 0.518 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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