I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
McCamish Pavilion · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread GT -22.5 Away covered
O/U 138.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total GT win
Actual GT +10 138 Won
Massey GT -13.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 155.4 (-17.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GT -10.4 (-0.4) 149.2 (-11.2) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GT -10.9 (-0.9) 150.2 (-12.2) 85% ✓
Baseline ML GT -11.5 (-1.5) 151.8 (-13.8) 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GT -11.6 (-1.6) 150.1 (-12.1) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 28, 2025 GT 89 – 65 FAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GT FAMU
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Massey 4.7 (#90) -4.0 (#226)
Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#145) 0.45 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#111) 0.33 (#145)
RPI 0.550 (#95) 0.542 (#109)
Shooting & Four Factors GT FAMU
FG% 43.6% 45.1%
3PT% 29.5% 31.2%
REB / G 37.0 31.8
OREB / G 11.8 10.6
AST / TO 1.12 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.3%
TOV% 16.5% 24.6%
ORB% 30.7% 31.2%
FT Rate 26.2% 15.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 21.1%
DRB% 68.9% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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