Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | TULN -700 GRAM +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -5.3 (+6.7) | 129.1 (+12.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -4.8 (+7.2) | 129.1 (+12.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -4.6 (+7.4) | 129.1 (+12.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -6.4 (+5.6) | 130.6 (+11.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | TULN 65 – 63 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-6 |
| Home | 6-6 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#235) | -4.4 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#175) | -0.38 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#168) | -0.44 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#223) | 0.556 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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