We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Halton Arena · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -12.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money CLT -1000 / NCAT +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +4 148 Won
Massey CLT -16.4 (-12.4) — —
Massey Totals — 131.5 (+16.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -14.4 (-10.4) 134.9 (+13.1) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -10.8 (-6.8) 134.3 (+13.7) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -13.5 (-9.5) 133.8 (+14.2) 87% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -14.2 (-10.2) 134.5 (+13.5) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 3, 2025 CLT 74 – 57 NCAT

Game Analysis

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