Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | GRAM -150 SELA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -7.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.7 (-12.7) | 133.7 (+13.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.1 (-12.1) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.3 (-12.3) | 135.3 (+11.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.6 (-12.6) | 133.6 (+13.4) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2024 | SELA 75 – 65 GRAM |
| Dec 21, 2023 | SELA 48 – 47 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Home | 6-4 | 3-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#254) | -9.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#243) | -1.97 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#243) | -3.41 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#163) | 0.407 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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