Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -280 NE +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.8 (-3.8) | 144.6 (+27.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.4 (-5.4) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.9 (-3.9) | 144.3 (+27.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.6 (-4.6) | 144.1 (+27.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
| Jan 21, 2023 | COFC 87 – 61 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#138) | -1.9 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#83) | 0.05 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#102) | -0.14 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#68) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.