I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
UIC Flames
66 – 62 OT
FINAL Conference
Robert Morris Colonials
Horizon League · Credit Union 1 Arena · January 16, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UIC -3.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money UIC -163 / RMU +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total UIC win
Actual UIC +4 128 Won
Massey RMU -1.0 (+5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (-19.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UIC -0.4 (+3.6) 147.4 (-19.4) 56% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UIC -0.1 (+3.9) 144.0 (-16.0) 54% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UIC -1.2 (+2.8) 147.0 (-19.0) 56% ✓
Baseline ML UIC -1.3 (+2.7) 149.1 (-21.1) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2025 RMU 88 – 74 UIC
Feb 20, 2022 UIC 96 – 88 RMU
Feb 4, 2022 UIC 80 – 75 RMU
Jan 16, 2021 UIC 67 – 53 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UIC RMU
Overall 9-13 4-15
Conference 6-10 3-12
Home 7-4 3-6
Away 2-9 1-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 67.7 72.2
Avg Pts Against 72.3 79.8
Massey -5.5 (#257) -1.7 (#195)
Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#239) -0.21 (#185)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#248) -0.49 (#196)
RPI 0.420 (#271) 0.553 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors UIC RMU
FG% 43.2% 47.6%
3PT% 35.0% 40.2%
REB / G 35.3 33.6
OREB / G 8.0 12.2
AST / TO 1.21 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 53.9%
TOV% 17.8% 21.8%
ORB% 22.5% 34.7%
FT Rate 15.0% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 56.8%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 20.2%
DRB% 73.2% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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