Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +135 FDU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +10 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -3.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-41.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -2.4 (-7.6) | 143.4 (-37.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -2.1 (-7.9) | 142.6 (-36.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -2.3 (-7.7) | 141.1 (-35.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -1.8 (-8.2) | 142.1 (-36.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | FDU 60 – 59 CHST |
| Jan 8, 2026 | FDU 70 – 63 CHST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FDU 91 – 49 CHST |
| Jan 11, 2024 | CHST 75 – 74 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 3-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-19 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#359) | -10.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#336) | -1.93 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#334) | -2.49 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#306) | 0.406 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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