Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -2000 SPU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -14.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -11.8 (-1.8) | 135.1 (+4.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -15.2 (-5.2) | 133.5 (+6.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2023 | RUTG 71 – 40 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#101) | 0.9 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#137) | -1.49 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#130) | -1.85 (#314) |
| RPI | — | 0.000 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 11.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.9% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 4.8% | 52.0% |
Game Analysis
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