Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -425 WYO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -9.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -8.4 (-10.4) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -8.2 (-10.2) | 132.2 (-8.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -6.7 (-8.7) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -7.8 (-9.8) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNLV 62 – 48 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#106) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#70) | -0.11 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#73) | -0.10 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#83) | 0.483 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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