Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -280 USC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -6.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.2 (-11.2) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.3 (-11.3) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -6.3 (-11.3) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -5.9 (-10.9) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NEB 82 – 67 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#51) | 8.7 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#49) | 1.34 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#42) | 2.07 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#35) | 0.549 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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