Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -3000 WMU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -3.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.0 (+15.0) | 132.5 (+17.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -3.6 (+16.4) | 133.7 (+16.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | BTLR 66 – 62 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#262) | 3.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#300) | -0.67 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#290) | -0.80 (#244) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 26.7% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 39.6% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 86.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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