Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | IOWA -200 ORE +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +15 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -7.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -4.9 (-19.9) | 146.2 (+28.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.4 (-19.4) | 141.9 (+33.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -4.9 (-19.9) | 145.4 (+29.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -4.8 (-19.8) | 145.2 (+29.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2026 | IOWA 84 – 66 ORE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ORE 80 – 78 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#5) | 12.2 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#11) | 2.59 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#7) | 3.10 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#42) | 0.595 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 2.03 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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