Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -325 WASH +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.9 (-1.9) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.0 (-2.0) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.9 (-2.9) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.1 (-2.1) | 151.9 (+15.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIS 90 – 73 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIS 88 – 62 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#28) | 11.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#25) | 1.36 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#28) | 1.96 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#33) | 0.527 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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