Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -125 URI +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -0.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -0.1 (+6.1) | 136.5 (-8.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -0.4 (+6.4) | 135.1 (-7.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.0 (+6.0) | 134.1 (-6.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -0.3 (+6.3) | 134.5 (-6.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DUQ 72 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#126) | 2.3 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#135) | 0.10 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#134) | 0.21 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#138) | 0.511 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.