Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -485 BYU +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -4.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -4.8 (+2.2) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -3.9 (+3.1) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -4.8 (+2.2) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -4.8 (+2.2) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HOU 77 – 66 BYU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | HOU 74 – 54 BYU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOU 86 – 55 BYU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | HOU 75 – 68 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#8) | 17.8 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#7) | 2.99 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.81 (#7) | 3.64 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#9) | 0.610 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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