Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -225 KU +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +22 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -4.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -3.4 (+18.6) | 135.1 (-19.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -4.4 (+17.6) | 134.9 (-18.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -3.5 (+18.5) | 133.4 (-17.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -3.5 (+18.5) | 134.7 (-18.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | KU 69 – 56 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | HOU 65 – 59 KU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HOU 92 – 86 KU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | HOU 76 – 46 KU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | KU 78 – 65 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 22.5 (#8) | 18.4 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#5) | 3.45 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#6) | 4.05 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#7) | 0.631 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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