Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -2400 USA +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -19.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -16.2 (-5.2) | 150.3 (-5.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -17.7 (-6.7) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -17.2 (-6.2) | 151.3 (-6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -16.6 (-5.6) | 150.6 (-5.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | AUB 90 – 81 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#38) | -2.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#45) | 0.16 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#42) | -0.04 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#46) | 0.512 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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