Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KU -1050 CBU +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | KU -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -11.6 (-3.6) | 136.0 (-8.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -12.1 (-4.1) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -11.3 (-3.3) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.7 (-2.7) | 135.2 (-7.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#21) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#14) | 1.33 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#18) | 1.51 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#14) | 0.544 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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