Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -190 FAMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -5.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -4.0 (-5.0) | 136.8 (-7.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -4.4 (-5.4) | 137.3 (-8.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -3.6 (-4.6) | 136.0 (-7.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -4.4 (-5.4) | 137.1 (-8.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ALCN 76 – 67 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-17 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#343) | -14.3 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#326) | -2.44 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#323) | -3.44 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#306) | 0.398 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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