Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -162 TLSA +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -2.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -4.1 (-9.1) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -3.1 (-8.1) | 155.7 (-12.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -3.0 (-8.0) | 157.9 (-14.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -2.2 (-7.2) | 155.8 (-12.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#45) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#50) | 1.69 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#52) | 1.99 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#43) | 0.573 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.