Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CREI +110 WVU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +17 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -1.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -1.9 (-15.1) | 133.7 (+23.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.9 (-15.1) | 131.5 (+25.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.6 (-14.4) | 134.2 (+22.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.3 (-14.7) | 132.9 (+24.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#73) | 10.2 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#73) | 1.80 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#70) | 2.44 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#121) | 0.531 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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