Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU -165 WYO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -3.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -2.7 (+6.3) | 134.2 (-9.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -1.4 (+7.6) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -2.2 (+6.8) | 135.3 (-10.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -2.3 (+6.7) | 135.8 (-10.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WYO 88 – 78 SJSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 SJSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SJSU 66 – 61 WYO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SJSU 82 – 73 WYO |
| Feb 18, 2024 | WYO 80 – 75 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#200) | 0.26 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#208) | 0.25 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#221) | 0.502 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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