Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OU -170 VAN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +30 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OU -1.2 (+28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -2.2 (+27.8) | 151.4 (+12.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -3.5 (+26.5) | 147.9 (+16.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.7 (+27.3) | 149.9 (+14.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.5 (+27.5) | 151.4 (+12.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | OU 92 – 91 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#49) | 13.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#23) | 2.99 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#29) | 3.31 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#62) | 0.588 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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