Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -6000 KENT +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -24.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -24.3 (-1.3) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -21.4 (+1.6) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#3) | 4.6 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#26) | 1.76 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#21) | 2.39 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.812 (#11) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 44.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 85.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.