Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +100 LT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -2.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -0.5 (-9.5) | 151.8 (-9.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.7 (-8.3) | 152.2 (-10.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#57) | 8.6 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#178) | 1.80 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | 2.64 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 3.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 10.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 46.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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