Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -10000 MVSU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +48 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -23.6 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -22.4 (+25.6) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -18.7 (+29.3) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -18.7 (+29.3) | 138.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -19.2 (+28.8) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | JKST 77 – 69 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-1 | 2-9 |
| Away | 6-15 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#298) | -29.0 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#282) | -4.31 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#292) | -5.77 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#235) | 0.367 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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