Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -155 ELON +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -3.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.9 (+1.1) | 144.2 (+26.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -4.1 (+0.9) | 144.7 (+26.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.3 (+1.7) | 143.1 (+27.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.7 (+1.3) | 144.8 (+26.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 17, 2023 | COFC 88 – 66 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#153) | -0.0 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#92) | -0.06 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#102) | 0.00 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#80) | 0.503 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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