Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | HOF +150 HALL -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +1 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-43.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.8 (-3.8) | 130.6 (-33.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.3 (-2.3) | 132.1 (-35.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.4 (-2.4) | 131.7 (-34.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-18 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-11 |
| Away | 5-9 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#170) | -5.9 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#172) | -1.47 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#176) | -1.76 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#234) | 0.346 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 47.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.7% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.3% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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