Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -270 WRST +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -6.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.5 (+2.5) | 150.9 (+17.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -4.9 (+3.1) | 147.6 (+20.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -5.6 (+2.4) | 149.3 (+18.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.7 (+2.3) | 151.1 (+16.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
| Dec 31, 2023 | MILW 91 – 83 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#134) | -1.9 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#147) | -0.30 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#123) | -0.25 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.492 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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