Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SF -2500 LBSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +30 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SF -6.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -8.3 (+21.7) | 148.5 (-10.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -6.8 (+23.2) | 150.1 (-12.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -10.3 (+19.7) | 150.2 (-12.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2020 | SF 107 – 62 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 17-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#132) | 5.2 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#98) | -0.30 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#97) | -0.14 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#26) | 0.500 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 43.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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