Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UND +180 UVU -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -4.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -5.9 (+11.9) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.3 (+10.3) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2024 | UVU 80 – 57 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-0 |
| Away | 2-12 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#322) | 6.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | 0.49 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#216) | 0.74 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#164) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.4% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 52.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.24 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 62.5% |
| TOV% | 28.0% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 13.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 60.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.7% | 30.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 84.4% | 81.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 43.9% |
Game Analysis
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