Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -270 NKU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +22 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -9.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -7.9 (+14.1) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -7.0 (+15.0) | 142.9 (+19.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -7.7 (+14.3) | 142.9 (+19.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -7.2 (+14.8) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MILW 73 – 72 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#132) | -4.5 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | -0.74 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#121) | -0.96 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#108) | 0.471 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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