Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | RID -170 FAIR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +20 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -6.5 (-26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -4.3 (-24.3) | 137.0 (-19.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -4.1 (-24.1) | 134.1 (-16.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -4.5 (-24.5) | 135.7 (-17.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -4.2 (-24.2) | 135.2 (-17.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FAIR 68 – 62 RID |
| Dec 5, 2024 | FAIR 78 – 75 RID |
| Feb 9, 2024 | FAIR 84 – 67 RID |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FAIR 88 – 81 RID |
| Feb 11, 2023 | RID 58 – 57 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#313) | -12.5 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#293) | -1.50 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#301) | -2.38 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#300) | 0.433 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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