Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -320 BYU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +1 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -7.5 (-8.5) | 149.9 (+41.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -8.2 (-9.2) | 152.8 (+38.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.1 (-8.1) | 152.5 (+38.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -7.4 (-8.4) | 150.0 (+41.0) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARIZ 75 – 68 BYU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | ARIZ 86 – 83 BYU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARIZ 85 – 74 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#8) | 15.8 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#27) | 2.02 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#23) | 2.61 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#30) | 0.560 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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