Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BC +105 GT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +15 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | GT -2.9 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -2.0 (+17.0) | 148.6 (-25.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -1.3 (+16.3) | 147.0 (-24.0) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -1.9 (+16.9) | 146.7 (-23.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -2.3 (+17.3) | 148.2 (-25.2) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GT 82 – 78 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-6 |
| Away | 0-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#199) | 0.50 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#206) | 0.58 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#252) | 0.488 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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