Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -310 ARMY +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -12.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -6.3 (-3.3) | 144.0 (+35.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -7.2 (-4.2) | 146.1 (+32.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -6.7 (-3.7) | 146.8 (+32.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | MRST 76 – 65 ARMY |
| Nov 7, 2023 | MRST 71 – 55 ARMY |
| Nov 27, 2021 | ARMY 65 – 61 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#190) | -4.3 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#187) | 0.68 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#231) | 1.11 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.253 (#338) | 0.688 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.8% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.