Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -240 OAK +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -7.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -6.3 (-1.3) | 146.1 (-9.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -4.0 (+1.0) | 144.3 (-7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.1 (-1.1) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -6.1 (-1.1) | 147.6 (-10.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OAK 83 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#129) | -2.3 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#138) | -0.26 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#122) | -0.32 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#99) | 0.509 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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