Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -170 SEMO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -1.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.6 (-15.6) | 139.5 (+11.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.6 (-16.6) | 139.9 (+11.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.5 (-15.5) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.8 (-15.8) | 139.9 (+11.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#227) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#221) | -0.33 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#242) | -0.60 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.516 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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