Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -450 RID +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -10.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -8.8 (-13.8) | 131.6 (+29.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -8.2 (-13.2) | 131.5 (+29.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -8.2 (-13.2) | 129.5 (+31.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.9 (-13.9) | 128.2 (+32.8) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MRMK 73 – 47 RID |
| Dec 5, 2025 | MRMK 68 – 66 RID |
| Feb 2, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 64 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | -10.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#196) | -1.42 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#191) | -2.00 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.434 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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