Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -145 YSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -0.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.4 (+8.6) | 145.9 (+21.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.1 (+8.9) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.2 (+8.8) | 143.7 (+23.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.2 (+8.8) | 145.6 (+21.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NKU 79 – 76 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#236) | -2.0 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#208) | -0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#216) | -0.08 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#187) | 0.485 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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