Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -250 UGA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +16 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -3.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.4 (-19.4) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.7 (-18.7) | 145.4 (+4.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -2.3 (-18.3) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -2.7 (-18.7) | 147.2 (+2.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UGA 91 – 80 TEX |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TEX 87 – 67 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#36) | 13.6 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#45) | 2.54 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#49) | 3.32 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#111) | 0.576 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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