Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OU -20000 STET +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +21 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OU -22.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -19.7 (+1.3) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -19.3 (+1.7) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -23.9 (-2.9) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -23.8 (-2.8) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | OU 107 – 54 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#65) | -7.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#137) | -2.91 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#140) | -4.12 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#235) | 0.042 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 11.4% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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