Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -290 EMU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -1.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -0.3 (+7.7) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.6 (+5.4) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -0.7 (+8.7) | 135.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.4 (+9.4) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | EMU 69 – 62 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#322) | 1.2 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#182) | 0.50 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | 0.32 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#221) | 0.342 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 26.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.5% | 40.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 44.4% |
Game Analysis
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