Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +600 TTU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +28 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -7.8 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -8.2 (-19.8) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -8.1 (-19.9) | 148.8 (-6.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -6.4 (-21.6) | 151.0 (-9.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -6.6 (-21.4) | 151.4 (-9.4) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | ASU 72 – 67 TTU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TTU 111 – 106 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#64) | 20.1 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#78) | 2.79 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#74) | 3.71 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#88) | 0.588 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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