Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +180 SIUE -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -3.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.4 (-14.6) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.2 (-13.8) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.2 (-12.8) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.8 (-14.2) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 1-12 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#230) | 0.6 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#310) | 1.00 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#305) | 1.28 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#214) | 0.488 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 26.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 10.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 59.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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