I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Washington State Cougars
94 – 77
FINAL Neutral Conference West Coast Conference
Loyola Marymount Lions
West Coast Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money WSU -175 / LMU +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +17 171 Won
Massey WSU -2.6 (+14.4) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (+23.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -3.8 (+13.2) 148.4 (+22.6) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -1.8 (+15.2) 149.2 (+21.8) 58% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -1.9 (+15.1) 149.8 (+21.2) 60% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -0.9 (+16.1) 149.2 (+21.8) 59% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 LMU 67 – 66 WSU
Jan 3, 2026 WSU 78 – 76 LMU
Dec 31, 2024 WSU 73 – 59 LMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU LMU
Overall 19-15 17-15
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 10-4 11-6
Away 5-7 3-8
Neutral 4-4 3-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 70.3
Avg Pts Against 78.6 72.1
Massey 3.1 (#117) 0.6 (#151)
Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#105) 0.31 (#142)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#89) 0.34 (#144)
RPI 0.530 (#122) 0.519 (#145)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU LMU
FG% 49.0% 43.6%
3PT% 36.4% 33.3%
REB / G 34.1 33.2
OREB / G 10.0 7.8
AST / TO 1.12 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 50.3%
TOV% 20.7% 15.2%
ORB% 31.8% 22.9%
FT Rate 22.7% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.8%
DRB% 67.1% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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