Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -110 UNH -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -8.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.6 (+11.4) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.9 (+13.1) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -5.2 (+11.8) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.7 (+12.3) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | UNH 90 – 84 SHU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | SHU 66 – 61 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#270) | -12.8 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#341) | -2.52 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#344) | -3.64 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#320) | 0.278 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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